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analysis

Camurus Oclaiz Dec 18 PDUFA: 85% Approval Odds

Oclaiz's two CMC-only CRLs make the Dec 18 PDUFA a near-certain approval, but Vertex's $10B Palsonify bet means Camurus wins an injection war in a pill market.

September 28, 2026
breaking MIRM

Mirum's Brelovitug Meets Phase 3 Endpoint in Hepatitis D

Mirum's brelovitug hit the AZURE-1 primary endpoint in chronic hepatitis delta, with 56% of the weekly-dose arm achieving virologic response plus ALT normalization versus 0% on delayed treatment.

September 28, 2026 · Rare disease · $MIRM
analysis

JPM 2027: 6 Names That Move on Deals, Not Data

ASCO moves oncology, ASH moves hematology, JPM moves deals. Six names with a 2027 catalyst and a cash runway or buyout question, ranked by deal-flow potential.

September 27, 2026
analysis

2027 FDA Calendar: 5 PDUFAs Ranked

2027's first half has 9 confirmed PDUFA dates. Five are investable binary events. Two are ghosts: one approved, one with no US ticker. Here is the playbook.

September 26, 2026
analysis

Q3 2026 Biotech Earnings: 8 Names to Watch

Ignore GAAP EPS. Q3 earnings matter only when they carry a pipeline, guidance, or runway signal. Here are the 8 names and the one number to watch on each.

September 26, 2026
breaking

AZN Etcamah Misses SERENA-4 First-Line Endpoint

AstraZeneca's Etcamah missed the SERENA-4 first-line breast cancer endpoint, capping the oral SERD to the ESR1-mutant niche. Its accelerated approval is intact.

September 25, 2026
breaking

KYTX Miv-cel CAR-T: One-Year Durability in SPS

Kyverna's CD19 CAR-T miv-cel held up at one year in stiff person syndrome, with a rolling BLA due Q4 2026. It could be the first CAR-T for autoimmune disease.

September 24, 2026
analysis

VKTX VK2735: 90% Maintenance, $4.9B Market Cap

VK2735 kept 90% of weight loss on monthly dosing and hit 22% placebo-adjusted loss. Viking priced a $500M raise into the rally. Buy the pullback, size it small.

September 24, 2026
analysis

VRTX Inaxaplin Cuts Proteinuria 42.7% in AMKD

Inaxaplin cut proteinuria 42.7% in AMKD, but the type 2 diabetes cohort missed significance. The 466-patient AMPLITUDE interim in early 2027 is the real test.

September 24, 2026
analysis

ACET Prula-cel: $88M CD20 CAR-T Lupus Primer

Adicet's allogeneic CD20 CAR-T reads out in 22 lupus patients this month. At $88M, a clean 12-month print re-rates the stock; a safety stumble halves it.

September 4, 2026
guide

FDA Misses a PDUFA Date: How to Read the Delay

A PDUFA date is a goal, not a deadline. Here's what happens when the FDA misses it, how to tell a CRL from a labeling delay, and what to do with your position.

September 4, 2026
analysis BMRN

BioMarin's 20% Yuviwel Royalty Is a Bridge, Not a Win

BioMarin collects 20% on Ascendis weekly achondroplasia drug through 2030. That is roughly $720M by 2030, but it recovers only 20 cents per lost Voxzogo dollar.

September 2, 2026 · Rare Disease · $BMRN
guide

Biosimilars Investing: The $30B Patent Cliff

Biosimilars erode originator biologics' revenue 30-50% at a time. How the BPCIA pathway works and how to spot a patent cliff before it hits your stock.

August 27, 2026
guide

FDA Meeting Types: Type A, B, and C Decoded

Type A, B, and C FDA meetings run on a 30/60/75-day clock. Learn what each signals about approval odds and how to read a 'positive EOP2 meeting' honestly.

August 27, 2026
analysis

REGN Cemdisiran: gMG PDUFA vs Vyvgart's $4.2B

Cemdisiran, the first RNAi therapy for gMG, hits a November PDUFA with best-in-class data. The real beneficiary is Alnylam's platform, not Regeneron's stock.

August 26, 2026
analysis

Roche Enspryng: Oct 15 TED PDUFA vs Tepezza

Enspryng's Oct 15 TED PDUFA is the first at-home challenger to Amgen's $1.9B Tepezza monopoly. Split Phase 3 data make this Amgen's loss, not Roche's win.

August 26, 2026
guide

Biotech ETFs: XBI vs IBB vs ARKG Compared

Three biotech ETFs can diverge 20 points in a year. Here's how XBI, IBB, and ARKG are built, which one fits your risk, and when to skip ETFs entirely.

August 22, 2026
breaking

ITM 177Lu-Edotreotide CRL: Manufacturing Only

The FDA issued a CRL for ITM 177Lu-edotreotide in GEP-NETs on Aug 7, citing only manufacturing and facility items. The Phase 3 COMPETE win still stands.

August 22, 2026
breaking

VOGX IPO Surges 127% on Mizagliflozin for PBH

Vogenx (VOGX) priced an $81M IPO at $13 and ran to $29.52 as mizagliflozin, an oral SGLT1 inhibitor for post-bariatric hypoglycemia, rode the Amylyx wave.

August 22, 2026
breaking BMY

BMY Zenbexus: First CELMoD Approval in Myeloma

The FDA approved Bristol Myers Squibb's Zenbexus (iberdomide) for relapsed multiple myeloma, the first CELMoD. MRD-negative response hit 41% versus 21%.

August 21, 2026 · Oncology · $BMY
guide

How Interest Rates Control Biotech Stocks

Biotech is the most rate-sensitive sector. A 2% rate hike can cut a pre-revenue biotech's value by 40-60% with no bad news. Here's the discount-rate math.

August 21, 2026
guide

Biotech Management: The 5-Question Framework

A great management team salvages a mediocre pipeline. A bad one destroys a great one. Here's how to separate the operators from the scientists in a suit.

August 10, 2026
guide

Biotech Stock Screener: 7 Filters That Work

Standard screeners fail for biotech. Here are 7 filters — catalyst proximity, cash runway, insider clusters — that find tradeable setups, not dead money.

August 10, 2026
guide

Biotech Takeover Targets: 8-Point M&A Screen

Biotech buyouts deliver the highest single-day returns in the sector. Five patterns preceded the last 12 deals. Here is the 8-point screen for the next target.

August 10, 2026
breaking

IPHA Lacutamab: $540M Sobi Deal Funds Phase 3

Sobi pays Innate $75M upfront for lacutamab, a first-in-class antibody for Sézary syndrome. The deal funds the Phase 3 trial toward accelerated approval.

August 10, 2026
analysis

IRA Drug Pricing: Reshaping Biotech Valuations

The IRA is the biggest structural change to biotech economics since Hatch-Waxman. Here is which companies face the most risk and how to screen for IRA exposure.

August 10, 2026
guide

Trading Biotech Conferences: ASCO, ESMO, AAIC

Medical conferences move biotech stocks faster than most catalysts. The calendar, abstract rhythm, and six signals that separate data worth trading from noise.

August 10, 2026
guide

Pre-Revenue Biotech: The 5-Question Framework

Pre-revenue biotechs have no sales, no earnings, and no P/E ratio. Here is a 5-question framework for deciding if the science is worth betting on. Here is why.

August 9, 2026
analysis

Q1 2027 Biotech Catalysts: 4 PDUFAs Ranked

Q1 2027 opens with four PDUFA dates: an sNDA label update, two first approvals, and one accelerated-to-full conversion. We rank each by tradeable risk-reward.

August 9, 2026
analysis

GSK Neladalkib: Nov 27 ALK NSCLC PDUFA Primer

GSK paid $10.6B for Nuvalent. Zidesamtinib delivered. Neladalkib heads to a Nov 27 PDUFA for TKI-pretreated ALK NSCLC. Data is real but GSK stock will not move.

August 7, 2026
analysis NVO

GLP-1 for Alzheimer's: A Good Bet That Did Not Pay Out

Semaglutide failed Alzheimer's Phase 3 EVOKE trials. Tirzepatide and retatrutide are next. The GLP-1 Alzheimer's hypothesis is dead as monotherapy. Here is what survives.

August 5, 2026 · Neuroscience · $NVO
analysis

BBOT BBO-11818: $648M pan-KRAS vs RVMD $40B

BridgeBio Oncology's pan-KRAS inhibitor enters Phase 1 with a confirmed PR in pancreatic cancer. At $648M vs RVMD's $40B, a cheap option on the KRAS race.

August 1, 2026
guide

CAR-T Cell Therapy: Autologous vs Allogeneic

Autologous CAR-T is proven but capped by manufacturing. Allogeneic is cheaper but persistence fails after 6-12 months. Here is how to evaluate both approaches.

August 1, 2026
analysis

IMMX NXC-201 AL Amyloidosis: 95% CR at $592M

IMMX autologous BCMA CAR-T shows a 95% complete response rate in AL amyloidosis. At $592M market cap, the stock is a binary bet on the September data update.

August 1, 2026
guide

Phase 3 Readouts: 8 Steps Before You Trade

A biotech announced positive Phase 3 results and the stock is up 15%. Here is the framework for parsing endpoints, p-values, and safety before you act.

July 31, 2026
analysis

BMY Q2 Earnings: 58% Growth, Priced In

BMY's Growth Portfolio hit 58% of revenue at +15% growth — but the $129B market cap already prices in the CELMoD pipeline and then some.

July 30, 2026
analysis

Why 99% of Alzheimer's Drug Trials Fail

Alzheimer's trials fail 99% of the time. Five structural reasons, why Leqembi changed the bar but not the odds, and a framework for evaluating any catalyst.

July 30, 2026
guide

Biotech Valuation: 3 Methods That Work

Biotech stocks don't have earnings, so P/E is useless. Learn the three valuation methods that work: rNPV, peak sales multiples, and comparable analysis.

July 28, 2026
breaking

Elevar Gets Third CRL for Rivoceranib in HCC

FDA issued a third CRL for Elevar's rivoceranib in liver cancer. The 23.8-month OS was never the problem. Manufacturing failures killed an approvable drug.

July 25, 2026
breaking

GSK Lynavoy CHMP: First PBC Itch Drug for EU

The EMA's CHMP recommended GSK's Lynavoy (linerixibat), the first IBAT inhibitor for cholestatic pruritus in PBC, setting up EU approval within 67 days.

July 25, 2026
breaking

JNJ Icotyde: First Oral IL-23 Pill Wins CHMP

The EMA's CHMP backed J&J's Icotyde (icotrokinra), the first oral IL-23 receptor antagonist, for moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis in adults and teens 12+.

July 25, 2026
breaking OTLK

FDA Approves Lytenava for Wet AMD on Fourth Attempt

FDA approved Lytenava for wet AMD on July 24, five days early. First approved ophthalmic bevacizumab after three prior CRLs. OTLK at $1.32, cap $247M.

July 24, 2026 · Ophthalmology · $OTLK